CAS: Economics: Scholarly Papers
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The geography of new technologies
(Institute for New Economic Thinking, 2020-06-15)We identify novel technologies using textual analysis of earnings conference calls, newspapers, announcements, and patents. Our approach enables us to document the rollout of 20 new technologies across firms and labor ... -
The economics of currency risk
(Annual Reviews, 2021-08-05)This article reviews the literature on currency and country risk with a focus on their macroeconomic origins and implications. A growing body of evidence shows that countries with safer currencies enjoy persistently lower ... -
Childhood cross-ethnic exposure predicts political behavior seven decades later: evidence from linked administrative data
(2021-06)Does contact across social groups influence sociopolitical behavior? This question is among the most studied in the social sciences with deep implications for the harmony of diverse societies. Yet, despite a voluminous ... -
Diagnostic category prevalence in 3 classification systems across the transition to the International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification
(2020-04-01)IMPORTANCE: On October 1, 2015, the US transitioned to the International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-10-CM) for recording diagnoses, symptoms, and procedures. It is unknown whether ... -
Is intervention fadeout a scaling artefact?
(Elsevier BV, 2021-06)To determine whether scaling decisions might account for fadeout of impacts in early education interventions, we reanalyze data from a well-known early mathematics RCT intervention that showed substantial fadeout in the ... -
How the other half died: immigration and mortality in US cities
(2022-02-01)Fears of immigrants as a threat to public health have a long and sordid history. At the turn of the 20th century, when immigrants made up one-third of the population in crowded American cities, contemporaries blamed high ... -
When coercive economies fail: the political economy of the US South after the boll weevil
(2022-02-01)How do coercive societies respond to negative economic shocks? We explore this question in the early 20th-Century United States South. Since before the nation's founding, cotton cultivation formed the politics and ... -
Inequality and the safety net throughout the income distribution, 1929-1940
(2022-02-01)We explored two measures of inequality that described the full income distribution in cities. One measure is an income gini based on family incomes in 1929 for 33 cities and in 1933 for up to 48 cities in 1933 were spread ... -
Evaluating the distributive impacts of a micro-credit intervention
(2021-06)Most analyses of randomized controlled trials of development interventions estimate an average treatment effect. However, the aggregate impact on welfare also depends on distributional effects. We propose a simple approach ...