URI: http://hdl.handle.net/2144/22647

The Pardee Papers is a series of papers that began in 2008 by the Boston University Frederick S. Pardee Center for the Study of the Longer-Range Future. The Pardee Papers series features working papers by Pardee Center Fellows and other invited authors. Papers in this series explore current and future challenges by anticipating the pathways to human progress, human development, and human well-being. This series includes papers on a wide range of topics, with a special emphasis on interdisciplinary perspectives and a development orientation.

Recently Added

  • The future of space exploration and human development 

    Kalam, A.P.J. Abdul (Boston University Frederick S. Pardee Center for the Study of the Longer-Range Future, 2008-08)
    This paper – the first in a new series of research and foresight papers, titled “The Pardee Papers”, is based on the keynote address by the then President of India, Dr. A.P.J. Abdul Kalam, at the 2007 Pardee Center conference ...
  • Does nuclear energy have a future? 

    Yusuf, Moeed (Boston University Frederick S. Pardee Center for the Study of the Longer-Range Future, 2008-11)
    Nuclear energy optimists suggest that a nuclear renaissance is under way. However, beyond such claims there is little objective analysis that corroborates the positive outlook. In fact, literature on nuclear energy is ...
  • 21st century trade agreements: implications for long-run development policy 

    Thrasher, Rachel Denae; Gallagher, Kevin (Boston University Frederick S. Pardee Center for the Study of the Longer-Range Future, 2008-09)
    This paper examines the extent to which the emerging world trading regime leaves nations the “policy space” to deploy effective policy for long-run diversification and development and the extent to which there is a convergence ...
  • Global aging: emerging challenges 

    Crampton, Alexandra (Boston University Frederick S. Pardee Center for the Study of the Longer-Range Future, 2009-08)
    Aging policy frameworks were devised during a demographic and economic context in which population aging seemed confined to wealthy nations. These countries could afford retirement policies that supported older workers, ...
  • Beyond GDP: the need for new measures of progress 

    Costanza, Robert; Posner, Stephen; Talberth, John (Boston University Frederick S. Pardee Center for the Study of the Longer-Range Future, 2009-01)
    This paper is a call for better indicators of human well-being in nations around the world. We critique the inappropriate use of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) as a measure of national well-being, something for which it was ...
  • Managing hazardous chemicals: longer-range challenges 

    Selin, Henrik (Boston University Frederick S. Pardee Center for the Study of the Longer-Range Future, 2009-03)
    Improving global chemicals management is a significant sustainable development issue, involving many longer-range challenges. This paper examines some of these challenges. It begins by describing hazardous chemicals as a ...
  • Community targeting for povery reduction: lessons from developing countries 

    Yusuf, Moeed (Boston University Frederick S. Pardee Center for the Study of the Longer-Range Future, 2010-02)
    This paper analyzes the efficacy of the community-based targeting approach as a means of identifying the poor in anti-poverty programs. It examines the performance of 30 community-targeted programs in developing countries, ...
  • Narcotics trafficking in West Africa: a governance challenge 

    McGuire, Peter L. (Boston University Frederick S. Pardee Center for the Study of the Longer-Range Future, 2010-03)
    West Africa is one of the most impoverished, underdeveloped, and instability-prone regions in the world. Many of the nation-states in the region are empirically weak: they lack the capacity to deliver public goods and ...
  • Linking climate knowledge and decisions: humanitarian challenges 

    Suarez, Pablo (Boston University Frederick S. Pardee Center for the Study of the Longer-Range Future, 2009-12)
    Future atmospheric conditions are increasingly predictable as a result of scientific and technological advances. From short-term storm forecasts to long-term climate trends, humanitarian organizations now have an unprecedented ...
  • The future of agriculture in Africa 

    Gatune Kariuki, Julius (Boston University Frederick S. Pardee Center for the Study of the Longer-Range Future, 2011-08)
    In this paper, 2010 Pardee Post-Doctoral Research Fellow Julius Gatune Kariuki discusses the outlook for the future of agriculture in Africa in light of changing conditions in demographics, climate, global food security, ...
  • Africa's technology futures: three scenarios 

    Swart, Dirk (Boston University Frederick S. Pardee Center for the Study of the Longer-Range Future, 2011-07)
    Technology has critical impacts on the future of nations and regions around the globe, and it can be especially important in developing countries by enabling increased efficiencies and rapid development. This paper uses a ...
  • The global land rush: implications for food, fuel, and the future of development 

    Nalepa, Rachel (Boston University Frederick S. Pardee Center for the Study of the Longer-Range Future, 2011-05)
    Foreign direct investment in agricultural land in developing countries has escalated dramatically in recent years, attracting the attention of development experts as well as mainstream media outlets around the world. These ...
  • Coffee, culture, and intellectual property: lessons for Africa from the Ethiopian Fine Coffee Initiative 

    Sereke-Brhan, Heran (Boston University Frederick S. Pardee Center for the Study of the Longer-Range Future, 2010-07)
  • Energy transitions 

    O'Connor, Peter (Boston University Frederick S. Pardee Center for the Study of the Longer-Range Future, 2010-11)
    This paper examines the history of energy transitions in developed countries, primarily the United States, to identify lessons for future energy transitions that are likely to occur or are occurring in developing countries. ...
  • Sub-Saharan Africa at a crossroads: a quantitative analysis of regional development 

    Tyler, Zachary C.; Gopal, Sucharita (Boston University Frederick S. Pardee Center for the Study of the Longer-Range Future, 2010-05)
    Sub-Saharan Africa is at a crossroads of development. Despite a quarter of a century of economic reforms propagated by national policies and international financial agencies and institutions, sub-Saharan Africa is still ...
  • An uncertain future: youth frustration and the Arab Spring 

    Mulderig, M. Chloe (Boston University Frederick S. Pardee Center for the Study of the Longer-Range Future, 2013-04)
    Many scholars and media analysts have attributed the Arab Spring revolutions of 2011 primarily to the desire for regime change and democracy by citizens in the region. In this paper, M. Chloe Mulderig, a 2011 Pardee Graduate ...
  • Cancer in Sub-Saharan Africa: The need for new paradigms in global health 

    Olsen, Maia (Boston University Frederick S. Pardee Center for the Study of the Longer-Range Future, 2015-12)
    Cancer is the leading global cause of death, and has been on the rise in low- and middle-income countries in sub-Saharan Africa and worldwide, which are projected to account for roughly 80 percent of global cancer diagnoses ...