Show simple item record

dc.contributor.authorEstrada, Franciscoen_US
dc.contributor.authorPerron, Pierreen_US
dc.date.accessioned2018-01-23T18:41:18Z
dc.date.available2018-01-23T18:41:18Z
dc.date.issued2017-09-01
dc.identifierhttp://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=PARTNER_APP&SrcAuth=LinksAMR&KeyUT=WOS:000409322700004&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=ALL_WOS&UsrCustomerID=6e74115fe3da270499c3d65c9b17d654
dc.identifier.citationFrancisco Estrada, Pierre Perron. 2017. "Extracting and analyzing the warming trend in global and hemispheric temperatures." JOURNAL OF TIME SERIES ANALYSIS, Volume 38, Issue 5, pp. 711 - 732 (22).
dc.identifier.issn0143-9782
dc.identifier.issn1467-9892
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/2144/26267
dc.description.abstractThis article offers an updated and extended attribution analysis based on recently published versions of temperature and forcing datasets. It shows that both temperature and radiative forcing variables can be best represented as trend stationary processes with structural changes occurring in the slope of their trend functions and that they share a common secular trend and common breaks, largely determined by the anthropogenic radiative forcing. The common nonlinear trend is isolated, and further evidence on the possible causes of the current slowdown in warming is presented. Our analysis offers interesting results in relation to the recent literature. Changes in the anthropogenic forcings are directly responsible for the hiatus, while natural variability modes such as the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, as well as new temperature adjustments, contribute to weaken the signal. In other words, natural variability and data adjustments do not explain in any way the hiatus; they simply mask its presence.en_US
dc.format.extent711 - 732 (22)en_US
dc.languageEnglish
dc.publisherWILEYen_US
dc.relation.ispartofJOURNAL OF TIME SERIES ANALYSIS
dc.subjectScience & technologyen_US
dc.subjectPhysical sciencesen_US
dc.subjectMathematics, interdisciplinary applicationsen_US
dc.subjectStatistics & probabilityen_US
dc.subjectMathematicsen_US
dc.subjectClimate changeen_US
dc.subjectWarming hiatusen_US
dc.subjectStructural breaken_US
dc.subjectCo-trendingen_US
dc.subjectPrincipal component analysisen_US
dc.subjectStationary noise componenten_US
dc.subjectSurface air-temperatureen_US
dc.subjectAnthropogenic climate-changeen_US
dc.subjectTime-series analysisen_US
dc.subjectNorth-Atlanticen_US
dc.subjectStochastic trendsen_US
dc.subjectSimulationsen_US
dc.subjectEconometricsen_US
dc.titleExtracting and analyzing the warming trend in global and hemispheric temperaturesen_US
dc.typeArticleen_US
dc.identifier.doi10.1111/jtsa.12246
pubs.elements-sourceweb-of-scienceen_US
pubs.notesEmbargo: Not knownen_US
pubs.organisational-groupBoston Universityen_US
pubs.organisational-groupBoston University, College of Arts & Sciencesen_US
pubs.organisational-groupBoston University, College of Arts & Sciences, Department of Economicsen_US
pubs.publication-statusPublisheden_US


This item appears in the following Collection(s)

Show simple item record