Pioneering power: the impact of artificial intelligence on international power
Date
2024-03-29
DOI
Authors
Nesoff, Willa
Version
Embargo Date
2024-05-03
OA Version
Citation
Abstract
The rise of artificial intelligence (AI) generates profound implications for international power dynamics. With relevant benefits and risks, this is a critical point in time to analyze the role of AI within the theoretical discipline and practical application of international affairs. With proper integration, AI has the potential to strengthen existing dimensions of international power. Understanding the prerequisites of an AI ecosystem (technological infrastructure, human capital, educational system, resources, and drive), this thesis analyzes the competency of five nations (The United States, the People’s Republic of China, India, the Republic of Korea, and Japan) to foster the development of a national AI ecosystem. The nations are ranked in a tiered methodology to understand relative power positions within the international system. Currently, the United States and the People’s Republic of China are ranked in Tier 1, and India, the Republic of Korea, and Japan are ranked in Tier 3.
The tiered methodology and individual analyses suggest the introduction of AI into the international system will entrench current power dynamics. First-mover advantage will sustain the global positions of already influential powers, like the United States and the People’s Republic of China, founded on early adoption, innovative environments, and economic dominance. While second and late movers will undoubtedly benefit from AI, the application and development of AI in these nations will likely address national challenges before innovative applications or international input. In terms of international power dynamics, AI will widen the power gap between central and peripheral nations of the international system by supplying dominant nations with large gains while only maintaining the power of status quo countries.
Description
License
Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International