Did the 2017 tax reform discriminate against blue-state voters?

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Accepted manuscript
Date
2020-12-01
Authors
Altig, David
Auerbach, Alan
Higgins, Patrick
Koehler, Darryl
Kotlikoff, Laurence
Terry, Ellyn
Ye, Victor
Version
OA Version
Accepted manuscript
Citation
David Altig, Alan Auerbach, Patrick Higgins, Darryl Koehler, Laurence Kotlikoff, Ellyn Terry, Victor Ye. 2020. "DID THE 2017 TAX REFORM DISCRIMINATE AGAINST BLUE-STATE VOTERS?." National Tax Journal, Volume 73, Issue 4, pp. 1087 - 1108. https://doi.org/10.17310/ntj.2020.4.08
Abstract
The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 (TCJA) significantly changed federal income taxation, including limiting SALT (state and local property, income, and sales taxes) deductibility to $10,000. We estimate the TCJA’s differential effect on red- and blue-state taxpayers and the SALT limitation’s contribution to this differential. We find an average increase in remaining lifetime spending of 1.6 percent in red states versus 1.3 percent in blue states. Among the richest 10 percent of households, red states enjoyed a 2 percent increase compared to 1.2 percent in blue states, with the gap driven almost entirely by the SALT deduction limitation.
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License
© 2019 by David Altig, Alan J. Auerbach, Patrick C. Higgins, Darryl R. Koehler, Laurence J. Kotlikoff, Michael Leiseca, Ellyn Terry, and Yifan Ye. All rights reserved. Short sections of text, not to exceed two paragraphs, may be quoted without explicit permission provided that full credit, including © notice, is given to the source.